Chapter summary
- Sugar plays a starring role in hypertension, poor blood lipids, inflammation and coronary heart disease.
- One in three Australians over 25 has metabolic syndrome (MetS), the precursor to diabetes and cardiovascular disease.
- One in ten adults has diabetes: about 1 million in Australia and 371 million globally.
- One sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) a day is linked to an 83% greater risk of type 2 diabetes in one study, and a 39% to 43% greater risk of MetS.
- The author’s advice: do not drink SSBs.
Diabetes
- Global prevalence was estimated at 2.8% in 2000 and is projected to reach 4.4% in 2030, with cases rising from 171 million to 366 million.
- Diabetes takes about 10% of the UK NHS budget, so even people without it pay for it.
- Type 1 needs insulin from early in life. Type 2 is linked to insulin resistance. Gestational diabetes appears in pregnancy and often resolves after birth.
- 2014 research suggests both type 1 and type 2 involve toxic clumps of the hormone amylin that destroy insulin-producing cells. Drugs that stop clumping might slow or reverse both.
- Australian data (June 2013): about 937,000 people with type 2 diabetes, 73,000 new registrations in a year, 67% aged over 60, and 23% needing insulin.
What the large studies show
- 50,000 women, 8 years: 83% higher type 2 risk for one or more SSB a day versus less than one a month. BMI explained about half of the excess.
- 40,000 Black women, 10 years: 24% higher risk for more than one SSB a day. BMI explained most of the effect.
- 70,000 women, 18 years: 31% higher risk for 2 to 3 SSBs a day, even after adjusting for BMI and energy intake.
- 12,204 men and women, 9 years (ARIC): no link found.
Where views differ
- Weight explains it: Part of the SSB effect runs through weight gain. If SSBs make you fat and fat causes diabetes, the drink is the indirect cause.
- Direct harm: The author argues SSBs raise risk independently of weight, through high glycaemic load and fructose, causing insulin resistance, beta cell dysfunction, inflammation, hypertension, visceral fat and abnormal blood fats.
- The null study: Participants in ARIC were older and heavier, which probably masked any effect.
- Open question: Scientists debate whether glucose from starch or fructose from sugar is the greater villain. Genes and gut bacteria also shape how each person responds.
Metabolic syndrome
- Defined by the International Diabetes Federation as central obesity (waist circumference, by ethnicity) plus any two of: raised triglycerides, reduced HDL cholesterol, high blood pressure, or high fasting glucose.
- It affects 20% to 25% of the world’s adults.
- People with MetS are up to three times more likely to develop cardiovascular problems and up to five times more likely to develop type 2 diabetes.
- In the Framingham Offspring Study (about 6,000 people, 4 years), one or more soft drinks a day gave a 39% higher MetS risk. That analysis mixed diet and regular drinks.
- A single serving of cola carries about 16.3 kU of advanced glycation end products (AGEs), which raise insulin resistance and inflammation.
Take-away points
- Eliminate SSBs and added sugar, and a large share of the problem should disappear.
- Food, bacteria and genetics interact, so individual results vary.
References
- Malik, V., Popkin, B., Bray, G., Despres, J. and Hu, F. (2010) Sugar-sweetened beverages, obesity, type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease risk. Circulation 121(11):1356-1364.
- Schulze, M. et al. (2004) Sugar-sweetened beverages, weight gain, and incidence of type 2 diabetes in young and middle-aged women. JAMA 292:927-934.
- Palmer, J. et al. (2008) Sugar-sweetened beverages and incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus in African American women. Arch Intern Med 168:1487-1492.
- World Health Organization (2012) New data highlight increases in hypertension, diabetes incidence. World Health Statistics.
- Wikipedia. Diabetes mellitus.